usa

Report .... Do not bet on the fall of Donald Trump in the presidential 2020 elections



NEW YORK (Reuters) - Donald Trump will be easily defeated if he wins the presidential election in 2020 by three potential Democratic candidates, Joe Biden, who will advance by 57-40 percent, or Bernie Sanders 55-42, according to a new CNN poll. Per cent, or Oprah Winfrey by 15-42 per cent

But should the president be afraid? Answer both. Because Trump has many experiences in which he turned the scales and returned to the top after he was in the late positions, and by 2020 he hopes to accumulate his real achievements to overcome his opponents of the candidates.






if. How do we read the results of this poll?

At first, we need a new rule when it comes to discussing Donald Trump's case. The rule is that we have to admit that he won in 2016 and we are working on this.

His ongoing debate about what he has done or said about America is exaggerated. In fact, raising this debate is in Trump's interest, because it drives liberals in America into irrational reactions, and the debate focuses on an era when Trump was at the height of his popularity.

Today, things are very different. The so-called "populist" president receives 40 per cent of the support at best. If elections are held tomorrow, they will lose.

But who will defeat him?

The three candidates named in the poll reflect the strengths and weaknesses in the field. They are talented and attractive characters, but Biden (75) and Sanders (76) are old, and Winfrey's choice means giving in to celebrities with no real political depth, the same way Trump used to win.

The question here arises: Where are the young candidates? And how the democratic figures mentioned in the survey work to heal the rift within the party as well as between the extremist currents and modernist trends in the country.

It is too early to judge whether or not the president is weak - based on opinion polls conducted three years before the 2020 elections. Nor should he neglect the possibility that he has a lot of achievements to talk about at the time, such as the existence of positive results for his tax policy and programs For health insurance, promoting investment in America and strengthening infrastructure.

On the external front, by 2020, we can see strong blows to Islamic radicalism by Trump's alliances in the Middle East with Israel and Saudi Arabia.

In short, when the next presidential election comes, the Democrats will not necessarily be able to fight on their own battlefield and show themselves as the only party that has the positives. But while it is easy to reveal the moral shortcomings of the president's performance three years from now, Democrats will have to face the legacy of long-term Trump projects, a legacy that may prove very attractive to American voters.

That's why journalists, who want to hold Trump's accounting accountable, need to focus more on what the president is doing than what he says. That is why Democrats need to challenge Trump over the broader implications of his presidency, rather than yelling about Russia, Steve Bannon and preoccupation with Twitter.